Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.167405e-03 1.315799e-03 0.001465 0.001627 0.001796 0.001967 0.002154
2025-05-11 8.910612e-04 1.118152e-03 0.001357 0.001625 0.001914 0.002214 0.002549
2025-05-18 6.136305e-04 8.857114e-04 0.001188 0.001539 0.001931 0.002349 0.002824
2025-05-25 4.249308e-04 7.244908e-04 0.001077 0.001503 0.001992 0.002526 0.003142
2025-06-01 2.747106e-04 5.822200e-04 0.000970 0.001459 0.002035 0.002675 0.003426
2025-06-08 1.750483e-04 4.826887e-04 0.000900 0.001448 0.002109 0.002856 0.003741
2025-06-15 1.215135e-04 4.347411e-04 0.000889 0.001502 0.002256 0.003115 0.004143
2025-06-22 6.456054e-05 3.602365e-04 0.000832 0.001493 0.002322 0.003279 0.004434
2025-06-29 2.926701e-05 3.047866e-04 0.000793 0.001502 0.002405 0.003461 0.004742
2025-07-06 1.327230e-05 2.794521e-04 0.000794 0.001560 0.002548 0.003709 0.005125
2025-07-13 2.530878e-07 2.237877e-04 0.000740 0.001539 0.002589 0.003836 0.005366
2025-07-20 NaN 1.695356e-04 0.000679 0.001503 0.002607 0.003931 0.005567
2025-07-27 NaN 1.483610e-04 0.000678 0.001562 0.002761 0.004206 0.006000
2025-08-03 NaN 1.069699e-04 0.000632 0.001556 0.002832 0.004387 0.006328
2025-08-10 NaN 5.287986e-05 0.000537 0.001470 0.002797 0.004439 0.006505
2025-08-17 NaN 2.390276e-05 0.000478 0.001433 0.002825 0.004566 0.006772
2025-08-24 NaN 5.204916e-06 0.000418 0.001388 0.002840 0.004675 0.007015
2025-08-31 NaN 1.836073e-10 0.000382 0.001378 0.002898 0.004837 0.007322
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000383 0.001430 0.003043 0.005108 0.007758
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000351 0.001421 0.003101 0.005267 0.008060
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000330 0.001429 0.003181 0.005454 0.008394
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.000334 0.001486 0.003330 0.005728 0.008832
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.000301 0.001466 0.003368 0.005859 0.009096